The following internal links are planned for the article:
LINK_POOL:
- carbon credits
- cap and trade
- greenhouse gases
- carbon market
- economic incentives
- emission allowances
- supply and demand
- market mechanism
- market price
- environmental regulation
- compliance costs
- renewable energy
- carbon footprint
- pollution permits
- fiscal policy
The following external links are planned for the article:
- https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/climatechange/carbonpricing#_Carbon_Pricing_Dashboard
- https://climate.ec.europa.eu/eu-action/eu-emissions-trading-system-eu-ets_en
- https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2024/06/28/Firms-Response-to-Climate-Regulations-Empirical-Investigations-Based-on-the-European-550992
- https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/WP-98-carbon-trading-unethical-unjust-ineffective-final.pdf
What Is Emissions Trading Systems?
Emissions trading systems (ETS) are a type of environmental regulation that create a market for pollution allowances, falling under the broader financial category of environmental economics. At their core, ETS operate on a "cap and trade" principle, where a government or regulatory body sets a limit, or cap, on the total amount of specific pollutants, such as greenhouse gases, that can be emitted by industries or sectors within a defined area over a period. This cap is then divided into tradable emission allowances, each typically representing one tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e)21. Companies covered by the system must acquire and surrender enough of these pollution permits to cover their annual emissions19, 20. If a company reduces its emissions below its allocated allowances, it can sell its surplus permits to other companies that have exceeded their limits, creating a carbon market17, 18. This market-based approach provides [economic incentives] (https://diversification.com/term/economic-incentives) for businesses to reduce their carbon footprint in the most cost-effective way.
History and Origin
The concept of emissions trading has roots in the 1990 Clean Air Act amendments in the United States, which successfully implemented a trading scheme for sulfur dioxide (SO2) to reduce acid rain16. However, the formal introduction of emissions trading systems on an international scale emerged from the Kyoto Protocol, an international treaty adopted in Kyoto, Japan, in 199715. This protocol established three market-based mechanisms to help industrialized nations meet their commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, one of which was international emissions trading13, 14. European countries subsequently initiated an emissions trading market to work towards their Kyoto Protocol commitments12. The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), launched in 2005, became the world's first major carbon market and remains a cornerstone of EU climate policy, aiming to reduce greenhouse gas pollution from power, heavy industry, aviation, and maritime sectors11.
Key Takeaways
- Emissions trading systems (ETS) establish a market for pollution allowances, operating on a "cap and trade" principle.
- A regulatory body sets a total limit (cap) on emissions, then distributes or auctions tradable allowances.
- Companies can buy or sell these allowances, creating a market mechanism that incentivizes emissions reductions.
- The system aims to achieve environmental targets efficiently by allowing flexibility in how and where emissions reductions occur.
- Revenues generated from the sale of allowances can be reinvested in renewable energy and low-carbon technologies.
Interpreting Emissions Trading Systems
Emissions trading systems are interpreted as a powerful tool within [environmental regulation] (https://diversification.com/term/environmental-regulation) to combat climate change by assigning a monetary value to carbon emissions. The effectiveness of an ETS is often gauged by the market price of its allowances; a higher price generally indicates a stronger incentive for companies to invest in emissions reduction technologies. Conversely, a low price can signal an oversupply of allowances, potentially undermining the system's effectiveness. Policymakers closely monitor the balance of supply and demand for allowances to ensure the system drives meaningful abatement. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) notes that stricter climate policies, including those that price pollution, do not necessarily have a significant negative impact on firm profitability, and can even lead to increased investment in intangible assets among firms participating in an ETS.10
Hypothetical Example
Consider a hypothetical country, "Greenlandia," implementing an emissions trading system for its industrial sector. Greenlandia's environmental agency sets an annual cap of 10 million tonnes of CO2e for the sector. It issues 10 million carbon credits, each allowing the emission of one tonne of CO2e. These allowances are primarily auctioned to companies.
Company A, a large steel manufacturer, estimates its annual emissions will be 2 million tonnes. It purchases 2 million allowances at auction. By investing in new, more energy-efficient furnaces, Company A manages to reduce its emissions to 1.5 million tonnes. It now has 500,000 surplus allowances.
Company B, a cement producer, experiences unexpected production growth, leading its emissions to reach 3 million tonnes, exceeding its initial allocation of 2.8 million tonnes. To comply with the ETS, Company B must acquire an additional 200,000 allowances. It can purchase these from Company A or other companies with surplus allowances. The transaction occurs on the carbon market, where the price per allowance is determined by market forces. This scenario demonstrates how emissions trading systems facilitate cost-effective emissions reductions by allowing companies the flexibility to either reduce their own emissions or purchase allowances.
Practical Applications
Emissions trading systems are primarily applied as a fiscal policy tool and regulatory framework to address climate change and promote sustainable economic practices. They are widely used in various forms across the globe, covering significant portions of national and subnational greenhouse gas emissions. For instance, the European Union's ETS is a prime example, encompassing emissions from power generation, energy-intensive industries, and aviation8, 9. Beyond the EU, many other jurisdictions, including California, China, and New Zealand, have implemented their own emissions trading systems. The World Bank's Carbon Pricing Dashboard provides a comprehensive, up-to-date overview of existing and emerging carbon pricing initiatives worldwide, including various ETS designs and their coverage6, 7. As of 2025, carbon pricing mechanisms, including ETS, cover approximately 28% of global emissions and mobilized over $100 billion for public budgets in 2024.5
Limitations and Criticisms
Despite their widespread adoption, emissions trading systems face several limitations and criticisms. A common concern is the setting of the emissions cap: if the cap is too high, it can lead to an oversupply of allowances, resulting in low carbon prices that fail to provide sufficient incentive for emissions reductions. Conversely, a cap that is too stringent could impose excessive compliance costs on industries, potentially impacting competitiveness. Critics also raise ethical questions, arguing that "turning pollution into a commodity to be bought and sold removes the moral stigma that is properly associated with it," and may undermine a sense of shared responsibility for environmental protection.4 Furthermore, concerns about distributional justice exist, with some arguing that ETS can disproportionately affect certain industries or consumers. The effectiveness of emissions trading systems in achieving substantial emissions reductions is also a subject of ongoing debate, with some commentators questioning their real-world impact compared to direct regulation or carbon taxes.
Emissions Trading Systems vs. Carbon Taxes
Emissions trading systems (ETS) and carbon taxes are both market-based approaches to climate policy aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions by putting a price on carbon. The key difference lies in how that price is determined and the certainty of the outcome.
Feature | Emissions Trading System (ETS) | Carbon Tax |
---|---|---|
Price | Price determined by the market through the trading of allowances. | Price (tax rate) is set by the government. |
Emissions | Certainty regarding the total quantity of emissions (the cap). | Certainty regarding the price of emissions, but not the total quantity. |
Flexibility | Offers flexibility for companies to decide whether to reduce emissions or buy allowances. | Offers flexibility for companies to decide how much to reduce emissions based on the set price. |
Revenue Use | Revenues from allowance auctions can be used for various purposes, including green investments. | Revenues directly accrue to the government and can be used as deemed appropriate. |
Confusion often arises because both instruments aim to achieve similar environmental goals by making pollution more expensive. However, an ETS provides certainty over the quantity of emissions, allowing the market to determine the price, while a carbon tax provides certainty over the price of carbon, letting the market determine the quantity of emissions reductions. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) notes that carbon taxes often have practical advantages due to ease of administration and price certainty, while ETS can offer significant political economy advantages.3
FAQs
What is the primary goal of an emissions trading system?
The primary goal of an emissions trading system is to reduce the total amount of specific pollutants, like greenhouse gases, released into the atmosphere by creating a market-based incentive for companies to lower their emissions.
How does "cap and trade" work in an ETS?
"Cap and trade" means a government sets a limit (cap) on the total amount of pollution allowed. This cap is divided into tradable permits (allowances). Companies can buy and sell these allowances, creating a market that incentivizes emissions reductions where they are most cost-effective.2
What happens if a company emits more than its allowances?
If a company emits more than the emission allowances it holds, it must purchase additional allowances from other companies or face penalties, such as heavy fines in the case of the EU ETS.1 This drives demand in the carbon market.
Are emissions trading systems effective?
The effectiveness of emissions trading systems is a subject of ongoing study. While they have been shown to drive emissions reductions in many instances, their success depends heavily on the design of the system, particularly the level of the emissions cap and the resulting market price of allowances.
What are carbon credits in the context of an ETS?
Carbon credits are a general term often used interchangeably with "emission allowances" within an ETS. Each credit typically represents the right to emit one tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent. They are the tradable units within the cap and trade system.