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Emission trading system

What Is Emission Trading System?

An Emission Trading System (ETS) is a market-oriented approach to controlling pollution by providing economic incentives for reducing the emissions of pollutants, particularly greenhouse gases (GHGs). Often referred to as "cap and trade," an ETS falls under the broader category of environmental finance and represents a key tool within market-based mechanisms to address environmental challenges like climate change. In an Emission Trading System, a governing body sets an overall limit, or "cap," on the total amount of specific pollutants that can be emitted by regulated entities within a defined period. It then creates and allocates a limited number of tradable permits, known as allowances, each representing the right to emit a certain quantity of the pollutant, typically one metric ton of carbon dioxide equivalent (tCO2e). Regulated polluters are required to hold enough allowances to cover their actual emissions.

History and Origin

The theoretical underpinnings of emissions trading emerged from economic thought in the 1960s and 1970s, exploring market-based solutions for pollution control. Early practical applications appeared in the United States in the 1970s and 1980s, particularly within amendments to the Clean Air Act, to manage pollutants like sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides. These early programs laid the groundwork for the more complex and widespread carbon Emission Trading Systems seen today. A significant international milestone was the adoption of the Kyoto Protocol in 1997, which introduced legally binding emission reduction targets for industrialized nations and established flexible market mechanisms, including international emissions trading, as a means for countries to meet their commitments22, 23. This protocol formally recognized the concept of tradable emission units, creating a new commodity in the form of emission reductions or removals, often referred to as carbon credits21.

Key Takeaways

  • An Emission Trading System (ETS) is a market-based approach to pollution control that sets a limit on total emissions and allows companies to buy and sell emission allowances.
  • The core principle, "cap and trade," incentivizes businesses to reduce emissions efficiently, as surplus allowances can be sold for profit.
  • ETS aim to achieve environmental targets, such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions, in a cost-effective manner.
  • Major examples include the European Union Emission Trading System and the California Cap-and-Trade Program.
  • Revenues generated from the auctioning of allowances can be reinvested in climate initiatives or used for broader economic benefits.

Interpreting the Emission Trading System

An Emission Trading System provides a mechanism where the "price" of pollution is determined by market forces. When an ETS is implemented, the scarcity of allowances, driven by the declining cap, creates a market value for emissions. This value, or carbon price, signals to companies the financial cost of emitting pollutants. Businesses must continually monitor their emissions and either reduce them or purchase additional allowances to achieve compliance. The system's effectiveness is often interpreted by how well it drives down overall emissions towards the set cap and how efficiently it encourages companies to adopt cleaner technologies or processes. The dynamic nature of the market means that the price of allowances fluctuates based on factors such as economic activity, energy prices, and the supply and demand for permits. This fluctuation provides ongoing signals to industry, encouraging continued investment in emission reduction strategies.

Hypothetical Example

Consider a hypothetical country, "Greenlandia," that implements an Emission Trading System to reduce its industrial carbon emissions. The government sets a cap of 10 million tons of CO2e for its three major industrial companies: Alpha Corp, Beta Industries, and Gamma Manufacturing. Each company is initially allocated 3 million allowances for free, and 1 million allowances are auctioned. One allowance equals one ton of CO2e.

  • Year 1:
    • Alpha Corp emits 3.5 million tons. It needs an additional 0.5 million allowances.
    • Beta Industries emits 2.8 million tons. It has a surplus of 0.2 million allowances.
    • Gamma Manufacturing emits 3.2 million tons. It needs an additional 0.2 million allowances.

Beta Industries, having reduced its emissions more efficiently, can sell its 0.2 million surplus allowances to either Alpha Corp or Gamma Manufacturing. If the market price for allowances is $50 per ton, Beta Industries earns $10 million from the sale. Alpha Corp and Gamma Manufacturing must buy allowances to cover their excess emissions, incurring costs that incentivize them to invest in cleaner production methods for the following year. This dynamic promotes cost-effectiveness across the economy, as companies with lower abatement costs reduce more emissions and sell their surplus, while those with higher abatement costs buy allowances, thus ensuring the overall cap is met.

Practical Applications

Emission Trading Systems are a cornerstone of modern environmental policy and carbon pricing strategies worldwide. The most prominent example is the European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS), launched in 2005. It is the largest international system for trading greenhouse gas emission allowances, covering over 10,000 power stations, industrial plants, and aviation activities across the EU and other participating countries19, 20. The EU ETS has demonstrably reduced emissions in covered sectors by approximately 35% between its inception and 2021, showcasing its effectiveness in promoting low-carbon investment and technological innovation17, 18.

Another significant application is the California Cap-and-Trade Program, which began operation in 2012. This program covers a substantial portion of California's greenhouse gas emissions, including electricity generation, large industrial plants, and fuel distributors15, 16. It has been instrumental in helping California meet its ambitious emission reduction targets and has generated significant revenue through allowance auctions, which are often reinvested in climate-related initiatives14. These examples illustrate how an Emission Trading System creates a market for emissions, driving reductions where they are most cost-effective and fostering a transition to a more sustainable economy.

Limitations and Criticisms

Despite their widespread adoption and perceived benefits, Emission Trading Systems face several limitations and criticisms. One frequent concern relates to price volatility in the market for allowances. Unpredictable prices can complicate business planning and investment decisions for companies trying to achieve compliance13. Critics also point to the potential for over-allocation of permits, particularly in early phases of some systems, which can depress allowance prices and weaken the incentive for significant emissions reductions12.

Some economists and policymakers argue that an Emission Trading System can be administratively complex, requiring robust infrastructure for monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) of emissions, as well as stringent market oversight to prevent fraud and manipulation11. Professor Ferdinand E. Banks, for instance, critiques emissions trading as an "artificial construct" that can primarily benefit brokers and intermediaries rather than consistently achieving environmental goals10. Furthermore, there are ethical concerns about creating a "right to pollute" through tradable permits, with some questioning whether such a system adequately addresses the moral dimension of environmental damage or if it merely allows wealthy entities to continue polluting by purchasing carbon credits9. These drawbacks highlight the ongoing need for careful design and adaptive management within an Emission Trading System to maximize its environmental effectiveness and economic efficiency.

Emission Trading System vs. Carbon Tax

While both an Emission Trading System (ETS) and a Carbon Tax are market-based carbon pricing instruments aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, they differ fundamentally in how they achieve this goal.

FeatureEmission Trading System (ETS)Carbon Tax
MechanismSets a fixed limit (cap) on total emissions and allows trading of emission allowances.Sets a fixed price per ton of CO2 emitted.
Emissions CertaintyGuarantees a specific level of emissions reduction by controlling the quantity.Does not guarantee a specific emissions outcome; quantity can vary.
Price CertaintyPrices for allowances can fluctuate based on supply and demand within the market, leading to price volatility.Provides price certainty, as the tax rate is fixed.
FlexibilityOffers flexibility in how emissions are reduced (e.g., companies can reduce their own emissions or buy allowances from others).Companies decide how much to reduce based on the economic cost of the tax.
AdministrativeRequires robust monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) infrastructure.Generally simpler to administer and integrate into existing fiscal systems.

An ETS controls the quantity of emissions and allows the market to determine the price, leading to potential price volatility but certainty in achieving the emissions cap7, 8. Conversely, a carbon tax sets the price of emissions and allows the market to determine the quantity, offering price predictability but less certainty about the precise level of emissions reductions achieved5, 6. The choice between an ETS and a carbon tax often depends on specific policy objectives, economic conditions, and political considerations.

FAQs

How does "cap and trade" relate to an Emission Trading System?

"Cap and trade" is the most common model of an Emission Trading System. It refers to the core principle where a government or regulatory body sets a "cap," or a maximum limit, on the total amount of specific pollutants that can be emitted. Within this cap, individual entities are allocated or can purchase "allowances" that permit them to emit a certain amount of pollution. These allowances can then be "traded" between entities, creating a market. Companies that reduce their emissions below their allocated amount can sell their surplus allowances, while those that exceed their allocation must purchase additional allowances, thereby creating an economic incentive for reductions.

What are the main goals of an Emission Trading System?

The primary goals of an Emission Trading System are to reduce the overall level of pollution, particularly greenhouse gas emissions, in a cost-effective and economically efficient manner. By putting a price on emissions through tradable allowances, an ETS incentivizes businesses to find the cheapest ways to reduce their environmental impact, encourages investment in cleaner technologies, and promotes innovation in low-carbon solutions.3, 4

What kinds of emissions are typically covered by an Emission Trading System?

Emission Trading Systems primarily target greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O), which contribute to climate change. They typically cover emissions from large point sources, including power plants, energy-intensive industrial facilities (like cement, steel, and chemical production), and increasingly, sectors like aviation and maritime transport. Some earlier systems also covered other air pollutants like sulfur dioxide.1, 2